13 Aug · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1389
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1465
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)