13 Aug · 04:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1375
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1442
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)