13 Aug · 05:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1452
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1375
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)