13 Aug · 04:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1452
FormWWLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1576
FormWLWLW
37%
63%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (16)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H36-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-32)