13 Aug · 04:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1714
FormWWWLW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Warzecha
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1406
FormWWLWL
80%
20%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~75 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+308
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+308)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)