13 Aug · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1375
FormLLLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1576
FormWLWLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H24-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-14)