13 Aug · 05:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1515
FormWLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1716
FormWWWWL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H24-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-11)