13 Aug · 06:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1603
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kolek
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1517
FormWWLWW
59%
41%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H23-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-20)