13 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1379
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1440
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)