13 Aug · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1413
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1347
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H24-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-19)