13 Aug · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1640
FormWWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Poliniewicz
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1478
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H54-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-12)