13 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1616
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Slawinski
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1541
FormWLWWL
58%
42%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 73% (30)
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H21-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-19)