13 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1514
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zochniak
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1513
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H51-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.