13 Aug · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1480
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Baron
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1369
FormLLLWL
62%
38%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 38% · 2.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)