13 Aug · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1438
FormWLWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1568
FormLWLWW
36%
64%
🌟Sokolowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (93)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)