13 Aug · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1615
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Slawinski
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1534
FormLWLWL
59%
41%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)