13 Aug · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1463
FormWLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1562
FormLLWLW
39%
61%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (16)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 48% · 2.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H37-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-32)