13 Aug · 10:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1618
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kolek
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1508
FormLLWLW
62%
38%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H19-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-15)