13 Aug · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1344
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1389
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H21-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)