13 Aug · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1553
FormWWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Szostok
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1388
FormLWWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)