13 Aug · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1599
FormWWLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pruszkowski
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1395
FormLWLWW
71%
29%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+204
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)