13 Aug · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1606
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kolek
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1481
FormWLLWL
64%
36%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 38% · 2.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H20-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-15)