13 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1445
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1473
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.