13 Aug · 12:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Patrik Klos
ELO 1761
FormWWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Klos
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1599
FormWWWLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Klos
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)