13 Aug · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1537
FormLWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1395
FormLWLWW
65%
35%
🌟Oracz stays under total as favourite 63% (62)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)