13 Aug · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1503
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zochniak
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1481
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H36-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.