13 Aug · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1643
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Poliniewicz
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1593
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H16-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)