13 Aug · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1603
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pruszkowski
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szostok🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 73% (30)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H26-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.