13 Aug · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1512
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stapor
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1445
FormWWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H9-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)