13 Aug · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1745
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klos
PK
🇵🇱Patrik Klos
ELO 1761
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kuzmicz🌟Kuzmicz covers set handicap as underdog 71% (76)
Fair odds · Klos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.