13 Aug · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1537
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Slawinski
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1611
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)