13 Aug · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1510
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zochniak
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1473
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.