13 Aug · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1745
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kuzmicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1643
FormWLWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 67% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H19-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-17)