13 Aug · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1599
FormLWLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kolek
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1453
FormWWWWW
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H39-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-27)