13 Aug · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1542
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H19-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.