13 Aug · 15:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1599
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kolek
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1510
FormWLLWL
60%
40%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H23-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-21)