13 Aug · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1619
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pruszkowski
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1541
FormWLWLW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Oracz🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H24-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-18)