13 Aug · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1614
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Slawinski
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1560
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Szostok covers set handicap as underdog 73% (30)
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H21-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-20)