13 Aug · 16:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1753
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kuzmicz
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1591
FormWLLWW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)