13 Aug · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1553
FormLLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Szostok
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1389
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)