13 Aug · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1611
FormLWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Tkocz
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1441
FormLLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)