13 Aug · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1753
FormWWLLW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Gasiorski
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1441
FormLLLLW
80%
20%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~76 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
17%
2-3
8%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+312
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+312)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)