13 Aug · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1499
FormWWLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Szlubowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1308
FormLLLWW
70%
30%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+191
H2H18-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+191)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-2)