13 Aug · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1611
FormLWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)