13 Aug · 20:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1364
FormWLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1499
FormWWLLW
35%
65%
🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)