13 Aug · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1483
FormLWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1622
FormWWLWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)