13 Aug · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Gasiorski
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1753
FormWWLLW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~77 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+291
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+291)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)