13 Aug · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1559
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lewczuk
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1506
FormLWLWL
56%
44%
🌟Lewczuk covers set handicap as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Lewczuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)