13 Aug · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1357
FormLLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1495
FormLWWLL
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowalczyk🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H19-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-9)