13 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Aleksander Szydlo
ELO 1450
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)